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Red111
420139.2
811931.3
977214.0
Blue139
889121.6
254331.3
386337.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions979790100110120130111139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
89Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
111Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#11
39.21.8
38.039.7
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
red by 1.5
37.74.1
32.836.9
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Second
8119
#24
31.31.8
28.029.7
Auto3.2
Teleop27.2
End0.8
Level
31.34.1
27.831.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3
Third
9772
#45
14.01.8
12.314.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
blue by 7.6
8891
#25
21.64.1
17.521.6
Auto2.4
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned