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Red63
876816.6
11422.0
99115.6
Blue141
656033.4
138842.4
237525.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5910705015063141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+70
Endgame+78
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +63
12Coral scored#25
42Coral points89
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
48Total teleop111
Reef
3L4#9
5L3#8
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points0
63Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#36
22.01.0
23.122.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.7
End2.3
blue by 20.3
42.43.2
36.840.0
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
Second
8768
#29
16.61.0
17.716.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 16.8
6560
#22
33.43.2
30.233.4
Auto3.8
Teleop28.3
End1.3
Third
991
#43
15.61.0
16.615.6
Auto1.8
Teleop12.5
End1.3
blue by 9.6
2375
#27
25.23.2
22.025.2
Auto4.2
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned