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Red82
945237.3
115910.0
959931.2
Blue89
61037.5
359838.3
551519.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701100501001502008289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
+5Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
49Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points18
82Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#17
37.30.4
36.937.3
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End4.0
blue by 1.0
38.32.5
40.037.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
Second
9599
#35
31.20.4
24.925.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 6.2
610
#15
37.52.5
36.734.2
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Third
1159
#32
10.00.4
9.610.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 9.8
5515
#20
19.82.5
22.319.8
Auto6.3
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed