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Red81
70229.8
265815.0
513727.4
Blue89
258440.1
1014718.6
688516.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867940601001201408189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+12
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +9
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
59Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
81Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#40
29.80.7
30.531.3
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 10.3
40.11.7
37.639.4
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
Second
5137
#16
27.40.7
28.128.9
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
red by 8.8
18.61.7
16.918.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
Third
2658
#46
15.00.7
14.315.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End2.4
blue by 1.9
6885
#21
16.91.7
15.216.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed