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Red97
386337.7
210222.2
359838.3
Blue192
325561.9
959931.2
441458.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011615015020025097192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+77
Endgame+95
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +19
0Leave9
4Coral scored#6
18Coral points28
18Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +58
14Coral scored#28
49Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
73Total teleop131
Reef
6L4#13
5L3#13
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +95
0Foul points0
97Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
38.538.3
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
blue by 23.6
61.91.3
57.859.1
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
37.70.2
37.937.7
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
blue by 21.2
58.81.3
54.756.0
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
Third
2102
#28
22.20.2
22.422.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 9.1
9599
#35
31.21.3
27.128.4
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9