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Red124
49844.0
258440.1
39933.1
Blue96
1012032.7
420139.2
254331.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130112608010012014016018020012496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+34Teleop
+26Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +47
25Coral scored#12
91Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
109Total teleop62
Reef
10L4#4
8L3#4
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +28
2Foul points0
124Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#10
44.00.1
43.943.8
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
red by 4.8
4201
#11
39.20.5
39.639.2
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Second
40.10.1
40.039.9
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
red by 7.4
32.70.5
33.232.7
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
399
#31
33.10.1
33.032.9
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
red by 1.7
31.30.5
31.831.3
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3