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Red133
138842.4
364723.4
440048.6
Blue115
386337.7
210222.2
359838.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231036080140160180133115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
18Coral scored#22
64Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
96Total teleop102
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
133Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.7
46.447.1
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
red by 10.3
38.30.5
38.038.5
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
Second
42.40.7
40.240.9
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
red by 4.7
37.70.5
37.437.9
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
Third
3647
#41
23.40.7
21.221.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
red by 1.2
2102
#28
22.20.5
21.922.4
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3