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Red149
325561.9
959931.2
441458.8
Blue158
676634.0
248535.6
61037.5
91%Model gave it9%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15710450200149158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
24Coral scored#27
87Coral points96
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
109Total teleop128
Reef
12L4#16
5L3#8
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#40
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
149Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.4
56.056.4
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 24.5
610
#15
37.51.6
34.235.9
Auto4.6
Teleop32.4
End0.5
Second
58.80.4
52.953.3
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 23.3
2485
#14
35.61.6
32.333.9
Auto6.8
Teleop26.8
End2.0
Third
9599
#35
31.20.4
25.325.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
blue by 2.8
6766
#30
34.01.6
30.832.4
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End0.6