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Red144
49844.0
258440.1
39933.1
Blue77
801529.8
665724.9
581736.9
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301065015020014477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+73Teleop
+75Endgame
+67Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +73
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points36
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#0
18Processor points6
32Net points0
50Algae points6
115Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#5
8L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points8
144Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#10
44.00.6
43.343.8
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End4.2
red by 7.1
5817
#13
36.91.0
38.237.2
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
Second
40.10.6
39.439.9
Auto7.2
Teleop30.8
End2.0
red by 10.3
8015
#23
29.81.0
31.130.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
399
#31
33.10.6
32.332.9
Auto2.9
Teleop28.7
End1.4
red by 8.2
24.91.0
26.225.2
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1