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Red115
138842.4
364723.4
440048.6
Blue64
513727.4
375930.7
70229.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219540608014016018011564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+51Teleop
+65Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +47
13Coral scored#5
48Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
76Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points14
115Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.2
46.246.4
Auto11.7
Teleop34.2
End2.6
red by 17.9
3759
#12
30.71.1
32.231.1
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Second
42.40.2
40.040.2
Auto7.2
Teleop31.4
End3.7
red by 12.6
702
#40
29.81.1
31.330.1
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
Third
3647
#41
23.40.2
21.021.2
Auto4.4
Teleop14.7
End4.3
blue by 4.0
5137
#16
27.41.1
28.927.7
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7