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Red121
386337.7
210222.2
359838.3
Blue104
1012032.7
420139.2
254331.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051176080140160180200121104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+23Teleop
+9Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
18Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points59
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
95Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#7
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +17
8Foul points0
121Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.5
37.638.0
Auto5.6
Teleop28.2
End4.5
blue by 0.9
4201
#11
39.20.0
39.739.7
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Second
37.70.5
36.937.4
Auto4.1
Teleop29.2
End4.4
red by 4.9
32.70.0
33.333.3
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
2102
#28
22.20.5
21.421.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 9.1
31.30.0
31.931.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3