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Red189
325561.9
959931.2
441458.8
Blue81
665724.9
801529.8
581736.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158985020018981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+86Teleop
+110Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
22Coral scored#16
80Coral points56
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
24Processor points6
28Net points8
52Algae points14
132Total teleop70
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#21
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points2
189Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.91.5
56.457.8
Auto14.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 25.1
5817
#13
36.90.4
37.236.9
Auto7.6
Teleop25.3
End3.9
Second
58.81.5
53.354.7
Auto12.6
Teleop38.7
End7.5
red by 29.0
8015
#23
29.80.4
30.129.8
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Third
9599
#35
31.21.5
25.727.1
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End2.9
red by 6.4
24.90.4
25.224.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.5
End0.1