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Red77
513727.4
375930.7
70229.8
Blue102
1012032.7
420139.2
254331.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941152040608014016018077102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
57Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
77Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3759
#12
30.70.3
31.130.7
Auto5.3
Teleop23.7
End1.7
blue by 8.4
4201
#11
39.20.1
39.739.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.1
End3.2
Second
702
#40
29.80.3
30.129.8
Auto6.5
Teleop22.9
End0.4
blue by 2.9
32.70.1
33.333.2
Auto5.5
Teleop25.8
End1.4
Third
5137
#16
27.40.3
27.727.4
Auto5.6
Teleop20.0
End1.7
blue by 3.9
31.30.1
31.931.8
Auto4.8
Teleop19.2
End7.3