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Red186
752820.4
85233.0
167898.2
Blue213
107255.2
1323116.9
265936.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12219250100150250300186213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+15
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
6Coral scored#10
31Coral points48
40Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +4
27Coral scored#23
96Coral points84
2Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
12Processor points24
24Net points28
36Algae points52
132Total teleop136
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#12
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
186Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.23.7
86.990.6
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
blue by 18.6
116.92.1
109.0111.0
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
Second
852
#16
33.03.7
16.019.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6
blue by 22.2
55.23.5
33.737.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Third
7528
#20
20.43.7
16.320.0
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
blue by 16.4
2659
#25
36.82.3
27.830.1
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned