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Red114
911425.5
1033918.9
347877.0
Blue114
527436.0
661934.3
696238.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11879050100150200114114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+4
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
85Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
114Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.0
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
red by 38.8
6962
#21
38.2
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
Second
9114
#36
25.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End0.5
blue by 10.4
5274
#14
36.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
Third
18.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
blue by 15.5
6619
#13
34.3
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed