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Red120
766731.8
741319.5
196745.1
Blue164
347877.0
359835.5
183641.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9616350150200120164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points37
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +18
12Coral scored#19
44Coral points70
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
90Total teleop108
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
120Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.3
39.640.9
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
blue by 31.9
77.01.1
69.270.3
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
Second
7667
#39
31.81.3
32.533.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
blue by 9.7
1836
#17
41.61.1
27.828.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Third
7413
#32
19.51.3
14.716.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End2.1
blue by 16.0
3598
#23
35.51.1
36.837.9
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned