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Red181
85233.0
1323116.9
713733.0
Blue94
1061515.5
67054.3
1033918.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1927205010015025030018194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+97Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +76
24Coral scored#12
86Coral points44
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
30Processor points12
24Net points8
54Algae points20
140Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#5
9L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
181Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.90.8
111.0111.8
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
red by 62.6
670
#8
54.30.5
42.042.4
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
Second
7137
#24
33.00.8
27.728.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 14.1
18.90.5
16.316.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Third
852
#16
33.00.8
19.720.5
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6
red by 17.4
15.50.8
17.218.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned