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Red94
666533.4
912520.4
510444.1
Blue77
666231.4
741946.4
661934.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10010860801201401609477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+7
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +7
9Coral scored#12
32Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
56Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#17
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
94Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#12
44.10.2
35.735.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End8.0
blue by 2.3
7419
#29
46.41.3
38.236.9
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
Second
6665
#11
33.40.2
36.136.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
blue by 0.9
6619
#13
34.31.3
31.630.3
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
Third
9125
#31
20.40.2
16.616.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 11.0
6662
#26
31.41.3
23.922.6
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed