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Red110
183641.6
196745.1
64920.2
Blue122
661934.3
713733.0
67054.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711750150200110122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+20
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points66
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
80Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#28
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
110Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.5
40.941.4
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
blue by 9.2
670
#8
54.30.6
42.443.1
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
Second
1836
#17
41.60.5
28.929.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
red by 7.2
6619
#13
34.30.6
30.330.9
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
Third
649
#38
20.20.5
21.321.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 12.8
7137
#24
33.00.6
28.529.1
Auto5.9
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed