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Red106
740115.2
265936.8
800616.1
Blue182
84046.3
60487.7
248927.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401540100200250106182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+64
Endgame+76
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave0
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points40
13Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +37
14Coral scored#21
49Coral points74
2Processor algae#4
7Net algae#7
12Processor points24
28Net points28
40Algae points52
89Total teleop126
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#12
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
2Foul points2
106Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#25
36.82.5
30.132.6
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
blue by 50.9
604
#3
87.72.1
66.969.0
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
Second
8006
#35
16.12.7
9.111.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 30.2
840
#10
46.32.1
44.246.3
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
Third
7401
#33
15.24.1
7.811.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 12.3
27.52.1
18.220.3
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned