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Red141
167898.2
977725.7
247336.3
Blue89
527436.0
325656.3
911425.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182855010015020025014189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +40
20Coral scored#12
73Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
101Total teleop61
Reef
11L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
8Foul points0
141Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.22.4
90.688.3
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
red by 42.0
56.30.8
45.744.8
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
Second
2473
#15
36.32.4
38.936.6
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 0.4
5274
#14
36.00.8
24.623.8
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
Third
9777
#18
25.72.4
27.725.3
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 0.1
9114
#36
25.50.8
20.119.3
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned