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Red159
325656.3
413526.1
347877.0
Blue96
977725.7
107255.2
1061515.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1579005020015996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+61Endgame
+63Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +41
21Coral scored#11
74Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
110Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#7
6L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
2Foul points0
159Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.8
70.371.1
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
red by 21.8
55.20.2
43.043.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Second
56.30.8
44.845.6
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
red by 30.6
9777
#18
25.70.1
25.325.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Third
4135
#30
26.10.8
21.222.0
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End2.0
red by 10.6
15.50.2
18.018.2
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed