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Red159
666533.4
265936.8
469840.9
Blue97
359835.5
1033918.9
696238.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136855010015020015997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+34Teleop
+42Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points20
40Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
85Total teleop68
Reef
13L4#5
4L3#6
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
20Foul points0
159Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#22
40.91.8
43.745.5
Auto15.3
Teleop22.0
End3.6
red by 2.7
6962
#21
38.21.1
25.326.4
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
Second
2659
#25
36.81.8
32.634.3
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
red by 1.3
3598
#23
35.51.1
37.939.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
Third
6665
#11
33.41.8
36.338.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
red by 14.5
10339
#40DQ
18.91.1
16.817.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed