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Qual 32025 Contra Costa Regional
Red172
666533.4
1061515.5
60487.7
Blue156
469840.9
247336.3
741946.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131123050100150200250172156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +18
20Coral scored#21
72Coral points74
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#4
18Processor points18
36Net points16
54Algae points34
126Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#12
8L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points14
172Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.72.5
64.3→66.8
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
red by 41.3
7419
#29
46.40.7
35.6→36.3
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
Second
6665
#11
33.42.5
33.8→36.3
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
blue by 7.5
4698
#22
40.90.7
41.2→41.9
Auto15.3
Teleop22.0
End3.6
Third
10615
#34
15.56.5
15.5→22.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End1.0
blue by 20.8
2473
#15
36.30.7
37.6→38.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed