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Red86
543016.3
666533.4
359835.5
Blue229
64920.2
60487.7
347877.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951905015025086229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+141
Endgame+143
Fouls+143
AutonomousBlue +42
0Leave9
3Coral scored#10
16Coral points49
16Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +99
11Coral scored#27
38Coral points97
0Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
0Processor points24
8Net points24
8Algae points48
46Total teleop145
Reef
6L4#14
5L3#9
2L2#8
1L1 · trough#6
16Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +143
0Foul points0
86Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#23
35.51.3
39.137.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
blue by 52.1
604
#3
87.73.5
71.875.3
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
Second
6665
#11
33.41.3
38.136.7
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
blue by 43.6
77.03.5
71.174.7
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
Third
5430
#37
16.31.3
17.616.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 3.8
649
#38
20.23.5
21.925.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed79%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned