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Red131
766731.8
527436.0
914338.9
Blue223
107255.2
167898.2
84151.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9120450150250300131223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+66
Endgame+98
Fouls+92
AutonomousBlue +27
9Leave3
3Coral scored#10
15Coral points48
24Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +39
19Coral scored#30
67Coral points108
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
18Processor points12
12Net points16
30Algae points28
97Total teleop136
Reef
5L4#17
6L3#8
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#8
28Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +92
6Foul points0
131Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9143
#28
38.91.1
34.735.8
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
blue by 59.3
98.22.3
92.594.8
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
Second
5274
#14
36.01.1
28.129.2
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
blue by 19.2
55.23.8
43.247.0
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Third
7667
#39
31.81.1
33.134.2
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
blue by 19.4
841
#19
51.22.3
39.041.3
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned