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Red62
840419.4
911425.5
741319.5
Blue137
666231.4
248927.5
67054.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691095010015062137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+65
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +55
10Coral scored#21
35Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
49Total teleop104
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#9
1L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
62Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9114
#36
25.51.1
20.419.3
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End0.5
blue by 28.8
670
#8
54.32.2
43.145.3
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
Second
7413
#32
19.51.1
18.517.3
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End2.1
blue by 11.9
6662
#26
31.42.2
25.427.6
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
Third
8404
#27
19.41.1
26.124.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
blue by 8.2
27.52.2
21.824.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned