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Red177
740115.2
1323116.9
977725.7
Blue168
696238.2
510444.1
713733.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1849950150200250177168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +17
26Coral scored#18
92Coral points65
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
18Processor points24
16Net points20
34Algae points44
126Total teleop109
Reef
15L4#8
9L3#7
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
177Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.91.0
111.1112.1
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
red by 72.8
5104
#12
44.14.1
37.041.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End8.0
Second
9777
#18
25.71.0
25.426.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
blue by 12.6
6962
#21
38.24.1
26.430.6
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
Third
7401
#33
15.21.7
14.316.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 17.8
7137
#24
33.04.1
29.133.2
Auto5.9
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned