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Qual 342025 Contra Costa Regional
Red105
1033918.9
183641.6
413526.1
Blue120
325656.3
84046.3
800616.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112550100150200105120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
16Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
66Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#6
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
4Foul points0
105Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#17
41.61.4
33.7→35.1
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
blue by 14.7
3256
#9
56.30.7
45.6→46.4
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
Second
4135
#30
26.11.4
21.9→23.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End2.0
blue by 20.2
840
#10
46.30.7
47.3→48.0
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
Third
10339
#40
18.91.4
17.9→19.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
red by 2.8
8006
#35
16.10.7
11.1→11.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned