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Red52
469840.9
766731.8
64920.2
Blue71
265936.8
247336.3
752820.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191020501502005271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
20Total teleop37
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
6Foul points6
52Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#22DQ
40.93.9
45.541.6
Auto15.3
Teleop22.0
End3.6
red by 4.1
2659
#25
36.82.0
34.332.4
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
Second
7667
#39
31.83.9
34.230.3
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
blue by 4.5
2473
#15
36.32.0
37.835.8
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
Third
649
#38
20.23.9
25.421.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 0.2
7528
#20
20.42.0
22.420.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned