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Red93
741946.4
666533.4
840419.4
Blue139
107255.2
911425.5
196745.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113124608010014016018020093139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points28
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points54
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
12Processor points18
12Net points8
24Algae points26
63Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#9
6L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
93Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#29
46.40.6
40.840.2
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
blue by 8.8
55.22.8
47.049.8
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Second
6665
#11
33.40.6
36.736.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
blue by 11.7
45.11.7
41.443.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
Third
8404
#27
19.40.6
24.924.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
blue by 6.2
9114
#36
25.51.7
19.320.9
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned