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Red115
67054.3
914338.9
740115.2
Blue116
510444.1
359835.5
1061515.5
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110110105115120115116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
25Total auto16
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points46
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
84Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
115Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#8
54.30.0
45.345.3
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
red by 10.2
5104
#12
44.10.5
41.241.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End8.0
Second
9143
#28
38.90.0
35.835.9
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
red by 3.4
3598
#23
35.50.5
37.738.2
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
Third
7401
#33
15.20.1
16.016.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 0.3
15.50.8
18.319.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned