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Red96
469840.9
977725.7
84046.3
Blue178
752820.4
666533.4
1323116.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191995010015025096178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+86
Endgame+86
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +69
12Coral scored#18
43Coral points64
0Processor algae#4
2Net algae#8
0Processor points24
8Net points32
8Algae points56
51Total teleop120
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
8Foul points4
96Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#10
46.32.4
48.045.6
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
blue by 70.6
116.90.2
112.0111.8
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
Second
4698
#22
40.92.4
41.639.2
Auto15.3
Teleop22.0
End3.6
red by 7.5
6665
#11
33.40.2
36.135.9
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Third
9777
#18
25.72.4
25.523.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 5.3
7528
#20
20.40.2
20.420.2
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned