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Red113
64920.2
265936.8
527436.0
Blue95
912520.4
413526.1
911425.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006220408012014016018011395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
90Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#6
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
113Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2659
#25
36.81.6
33.435.0
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
red by 10.7
4135
#30
26.11.9
23.625.5
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Second
5274
#14
36.01.6
30.331.9
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
red by 10.4
9114
#36
25.51.9
21.823.7
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End0.5
Third
649
#38
20.21.6
22.323.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 0.3
9125
#31
20.41.9
14.416.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed