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Red220
914338.9
248927.5
1323116.9
Blue126
84046.3
196745.1
666533.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21113350100150250300220126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+82Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +57
29Coral scored#17
104Coral points61
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
160Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#8
10L3#4
7L2#5
8L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
220Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.91.9
111.8113.7
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
red by 70.6
840
#10
46.30.8
45.644.8
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
Second
9143
#28
38.91.9
39.040.9
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
blue by 6.2
45.10.8
42.842.0
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
Third
27.51.9
27.129.0
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End2.1
blue by 5.9
6665
#11
33.40.8
35.935.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed