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Red126
696238.2
84151.2
741319.5
Blue117
741946.4
510444.1
1033918.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10511650150200126117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto26
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
77Total teleop77
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
126Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#19
51.22.3
40.843.1
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End6.8
red by 4.8
7419
#29
46.40.9
41.041.9
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
Second
6962
#21
38.22.3
33.836.0
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
blue by 5.9
5104
#12
44.10.9
40.341.2
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End8.0
Third
7413
#32
19.52.3
17.519.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End2.1
red by 0.6
18.90.9
21.922.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned