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Red141
800616.1
67054.3
977725.7
Blue109
543016.3
766731.8
107255.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97121050150200141109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points27
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#15
58Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
82Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
24Foul points0
141Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#8
54.31.2
47.748.9
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
blue by 0.8
55.20.6
52.051.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
Second
9777
#18
25.71.2
23.224.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
blue by 6.2
7667
#39
31.80.4
30.530.2
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
Third
8006
#35
16.11.2
14.015.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 0.2
5430
#37
16.30.4
18.117.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed