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Red136
247336.3
347877.0
840419.4
Blue75
752820.4
740115.2
183641.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1597405010020025013675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+51Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points12
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
90Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
136Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.8
76.776.0
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
red by 35.4
1836
#17
41.60.7
37.536.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Second
2473
#15
36.30.8
36.435.6
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 16.0
7528
#20
20.40.7
20.219.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
Third
8404
#27
19.40.8
22.922.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
red by 4.1
7401
#33
15.21.1
16.615.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed