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Red120
247336.3
107255.2
713733.0
Blue89
265936.8
840419.4
661934.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139865010015020012089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
69Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
120Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.6
55.054.4
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
red by 18.4
2659
#25
36.80.2
34.234.0
Auto7.3
Teleop28.5
End1.0
Second
2473
#15
36.30.5
33.533.0
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
red by 2.0
6619
#13
34.30.2
33.933.7
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
Third
7137
#24
33.00.5
32.932.4
Auto5.9
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 13.7
8404
#27
19.40.2
18.518.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed