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Red78
510444.1
248927.5
752820.4
Blue56
359835.5
413526.1
64920.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95926070801001107856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
47Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
78Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5104
#12
44.10.8
43.142.3
Auto7.7
Teleop28.4
End8.0
red by 8.6
3598
#23
35.52.0
36.935.0
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
Second
27.50.8
26.525.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End2.1
red by 1.5
4135
#30
26.12.0
27.025.0
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Third
7528
#20
20.40.8
19.718.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
red by 0.2
649
#38
20.22.0
21.519.5
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned