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Red109
741946.4
1061515.5
912520.4
Blue177
977725.7
196745.1
84151.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7813350100150200109177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+48
Endgame+60
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +41
16Coral scored#23
56Coral points81
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
6Processor points18
20Net points24
26Algae points42
82Total teleop123
Reef
7L4#14
4L3#5
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points8
109Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#29
46.41.2
40.641.8
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
blue by 4.8
841
#19
51.22.6
46.449.0
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End6.8
Second
9125
#31
20.41.2
19.420.6
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 24.7
45.12.6
40.743.4
Auto9.3
Teleop34.2
End1.6
Third
15.51.4
13.314.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End1.0
blue by 10.2
9777
#18
25.72.6
22.825.4
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned