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Red164
84046.3
543016.3
67054.3
Blue101
766731.8
696238.2
666533.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124112406080100140160180164101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+37Teleop
+59Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
104Total teleop74
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points2
164Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#8
54.33.1
50.253.3
Auto10.5
Teleop37.5
End6.3
red by 16.1
6962
#21
38.20.4
37.136.6
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End1.0
Second
840
#10
46.33.1
41.644.7
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
red by 12.9
6665
#11
33.40.4
32.331.8
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
Third
5430
#37
16.33.1
13.216.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.7
blue by 15.5
7667
#39
31.80.4
30.830.4
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned