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Red190
60487.7
740115.2
247336.3
Blue101
741319.5
914338.9
183641.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811850100200190101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+73Teleop
+83Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +51
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points50
3Processor algae#3
12Net algae#3
18Processor points18
48Net points12
66Algae points30
131Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#3
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
6Foul points0
190Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.72.3
84.486.7
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
red by 46.1
1836
#17
41.61.4
41.740.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Second
2473
#15
36.32.3
33.035.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.7
End6.7
blue by 2.6
9143
#28
38.91.4
39.438.0
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
Third
7401
#33
15.22.6
12.715.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 4.3
7413
#32
19.51.4
20.919.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed