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Red108
469840.9
527436.0
359835.5
Blue176
1323116.9
840419.4
413526.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11018550150200250108176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+70
Endgame+72
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave3
5Coral scored#8
26Coral points41
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +52
12Coral scored#23
42Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
62Total teleop114
Reef
7L4#15
3L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
6Foul points2
108Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#22
40.90.5
41.040.5
Auto15.3
Teleop22.0
End3.6
blue by 76.0
116.91.0
115.2116.3
Auto28.4
Teleop77.7
End10.8
Second
5274
#14
36.00.5
33.332.8
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
red by 9.9
4135
#30
26.11.0
25.026.1
Auto5.7
Teleop18.3
End2.0
Third
3598
#23
35.50.5
35.034.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.3
End6.6
red by 16.2
8404
#27
19.41.0
18.319.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned