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Red103
1033918.9
912520.4
107255.2
Blue165
248927.5
1061515.5
167898.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9816850150200250103165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+56
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +49
11Coral scored#22
39Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
59Total teleop108
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#7
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points6
103Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.20.2
54.454.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.3
End6.5
blue by 43.1
98.20.7
96.997.6
Auto24.4
Teleop61.6
End12.2
Second
9125
#31
20.40.1
20.620.4
Auto5.4
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 7.1
27.50.7
25.826.5
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End2.1
Third
18.90.1
19.018.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.8
red by 3.4
15.50.8
14.815.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned