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Red103
64920.2
661934.3
84046.3
Blue94
977725.7
666231.4
85233.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119805015020025010394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+3Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
73Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
103Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
#10
46.30.3
44.745.1
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
red by 13.3
852
#16
33.00.2
31.832.1
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6
Second
6619
#13
34.30.3
33.734.1
Auto3.5
Teleop27.9
End3.0
red by 2.9
6662
#26
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto3.1
Teleop26.8
End1.5
Third
649
#38
20.20.3
19.519.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 5.5
9777
#18
25.70.2
25.425.7
Auto4.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed