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Red136
766731.8
752820.4
741946.4
Blue84
911425.5
800616.1
713733.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1068405015013684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+44Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points47
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
101Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#5
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points4
136Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#29
46.41.4
41.843.2
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
red by 13.4
7137
#24
33.00.4
32.432.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.3
End1.9
Second
7667
#39
31.81.4
30.431.8
Auto5.2
Teleop25.9
End0.8
red by 6.3
9114
#36
25.50.4
25.925.5
Auto5.0
Teleop20.0
End0.5
Third
7528
#20
20.41.4
18.920.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End2.4
red by 4.3
8006
#35
16.10.4
16.516.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed