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Red96
713733.0
666533.4
183641.6
Blue93
840419.4
64920.2
84151.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11489501001502009693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+7
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
68Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#9
4L3#7
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
96Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1836
#17
41.60.1
27.927.8
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
blue by 9.6
841
#19
51.20.6
36.437.0
Auto8.9
Teleop35.5
End6.8
Second
6665
#11
33.40.1
36.336.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.5
End7.3
red by 13.2
649
#38
20.20.6
19.219.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Third
7137
#24
33.00.1
27.827.7
Auto5.9
Teleop25.3
End1.9
red by 13.7
8404
#27
19.40.8
22.623.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed