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Red175
741946.4
527436.0
325656.3
Blue129
84046.3
85233.0
183641.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14613080100120160180200175129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points9
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
27Coral scored#14
97Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
12Processor points18
12Net points32
24Algae points50
121Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#4
9L3#6
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
175Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.9
54.455.4
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
red by 10.0
840
#10
46.30.2
46.146.3
Auto7.2
Teleop31.6
End7.5
Second
7419
#29
46.40.9
44.645.5
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
red by 4.8
1836
#17
41.60.2
41.441.6
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End4.8
Third
5274
#14
36.00.9
34.135.1
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9
red by 3.0
852
#16
33.00.2
32.833.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End1.6