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Red234
60487.7
914338.9
347877.0
Blue183
741946.4
527436.0
325656.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230137100150200250300234183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
10Coral scored#9
52Coral points43
61Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +37
27Coral scored#23
97Coral points84
6Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
36Processor points12
24Net points24
60Algae points36
157Total teleop120
Reef
17L4#12
8L3#8
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points4
234Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
87.70.7
86.887.4
Auto22.3
Teleop59.5
End5.9
red by 31.4
56.30.9
55.456.3
Auto11.2
Teleop34.7
End10.4
Second
77.00.7
76.176.8
Auto17.8
Teleop48.4
End10.8
red by 30.6
7419
#29
46.40.9
45.546.4
Auto11.1
Teleop35.4
End-0.1
Third
9143
#28
38.90.7
38.038.7
Auto8.3
Teleop29.2
End1.4
red by 3.0
5274
#14
36.00.9
35.136.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.1
End0.9